Top Funds' Activity in Q4 2020
The latest round of 13F filings from institutional investors is out, revealing to the world the stocks that some of the richest and most successful investors have been buying and selling.
Takeaways From 13F Season: Investors who follow particular fund managers can easily look up what each was buying and selling in the quarter, but other investors may be more interested in overall themes from 13F filings. The fourth quarter of 2020 was a big quarter for the S&P 500, and investors were likely interested in what top managers were buying and selling heading into 2021.
Google parent Alphabet has the attention of fund managers in Q4, with Tepper and Klarman selling and Soros buying.
Auto stocks have been hot in the market, and Cooperman was buying General Motors on the strength while Soros was taking profits.
Buffett took huge new positions in Verizon and Chevron, both of which pay dividend yields above 4.4%. Buffett also reduced exposure to bank stocks in the quarter, selling Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, M&T and PNC.
Several fund managers traded ETFs to play particular themes. Tepper bet on the Energy Sector by buying the XLE fund while Soros made a big bet on emerging markets by buying the EEM fund.
Here’s a rundown of how the smart money was playing some of the most popular stocks last quarter.
David Einhorn’s Greenlight Capital
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Danimer Scientific Inc (NYSE: DNMR)
Fubotv Inc (NYSE: FUBO)
Concentrix Corp (NASDAQ: CNXC)
Dillard's, Inc. (NYSE: DDS)
Sonos Inc (NASDAQ: SONO)
Consol Energy Inc (NYSE: CEIX)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
David Tepper’s Appaloosa Management
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: OXY)
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE: XLE)
QUALCOMM, Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM)
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ: FB)
Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT)
Twitter Inc (NYSE: TWTR)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
PG&E Corporation (NYSE: PCG)
Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU)
AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T)
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd - ADR (NYSE: BABA)
Netflix Inc (NASDAQ: NFLX)
Leon Cooperman’s Omega Advisors
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Mp Materials Corp (NYSE: MP)
General Motors Company (NYSE: GM)
Barings BDC Inc (NYSE: BBDC)
Energy Transfer LP Unit (NYSE: ET)
Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ: CMCSA)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
AMC NETWORKS INC (NASDAQ: AMCX)
Barry Rosenstein’s Jana Partners
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Laboratory Corp. of America Holdings (NYSE: LH)
W R Grace & Co (NYSE: GRA)
Tegna Inc. (NYSE: TGNA)
TreeHouse Foods Inc. (NYSE: THS)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
Callaway Golf Co (NYSE: ELY)
Jeff Smith’s Starboard Value
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ON)
ACI Worldwide (NASDAQ: ACIW)
Corteva (NYSE: CTVA)
NortonLifeLock (NASDAQ: NLOK)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ)
Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK)
AbbVie Inc (NYSE: ABBV)
T-Mobile Us Inc (NASDAQ: TMUS)
Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC)
Barrick Gold Corp (NYSE: GOLD)
M&T Bank Corporation (NYSE: MTB)
PNC Financial Services Group Inc (NYSE: PNC)
Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE)
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM)
George Soros’ Soros Fund Management
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Quantumscape Corp (NYSE: QS)
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSE: EEM)
Walt Disney Co (NYSE: DIS)
Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)
Nike Inc (NYSE: NKE)
Uber Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: UBER)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
Carl Icahn’s Icahn Capital
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Icahn Enterprises LP Common Stock (NYSE: IEP)
Bausch Health Companies Inc (NYSE: BHC)
Dana Inc (NYSE: DAN)
Xerox Holdings Corp (NYSE: XRX)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases: (none)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX)
Restaurant Brands International Inc (NYSE: QSR)
Lowe’s Companies Inc (NYSE: LOW)
Agilent Technologies Inc (NYSE: A)
Hilton Hotels Corporation (NYSE: HLT)
Seth Klarman’s Baupost Group
Notable Q4 Buys/Increases:
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC)
Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE: MPC)
Facebook, Inc. (NASDAQ: FB)
eBay Inc (NASDAQ: EBAY)
Notable Q4 Sells/Reductions:
It's that time of the year again where we get to peek into the portfolios of the world's top money managers, with a customary 45 day lag.
Now, you might wonder why a 45 day lag? If Cathie Wood, founder, CEO & CIO of ARK Invest and the hottest portfolio manager on the planet right now can post her daily activity of what they bought and sold in the ARK funds (for example, see her ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) holdings here), then why can't all these top funds do the same?
The answer? They don't want you to have access to their daily activity and refuse to be as transparent as Ms. Wood is.
Anyway, before I cover 13F holdings, let's go over some market news as the S&P 500 fell slightly on Friday to end a losing week:
Stocks came under pressure Friday afternoon, reversing early gains.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the day up less than 1 point at 31,494.32 after climbing more than 150 points earlier in the session. The S&P 500 finished down 0.19% at 3,906.71 while the Nasdaq Composite gained less than 0.1% to finish at 13,874.46.
Though the major indexes traded higher for most of the morning, a combination of rising interest rates and profit taking in some of the market’s largest technology companies appeared to dampen optimism after noon.
For the week, the S&P 500 lost 0.71% while the Nasdaq shed 1.57%. The Dow fared better with a slight gain of 0.11%.
Cyclical stocks outperformed the broader market with the materials, energy and industrials sectors up 1.8%, 1.7% and 1.6%, respectively. Utilities and consumer staples stocks were among the biggest laggards.
Small-cap stocks, which also tend to track the ups and downs of the broader economy, clinched solid gains Friday at the expense of some of the market’s largest members. The Russell 2000 added 2% while Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, and Microsoft all fell. Apple ended the week down 4%.
Not all of technology underperformed as chipmakers proved resilient. Applied Materials, which makes the equipment used to manufacture semiconductors, gave a better-than-expected second-quarter forecast after the bell Thursday. The shares gained 5.3% Friday.
The strength among economically sensitive stocks came after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told CNBC Thursday after the bell that more stimulus is necessary even as some economic data suggested a rebound is already underway. She added a $1.9 trillion stimulus deal could help the U.S. get back to full employment in a year.
“We think it’s very important to have a big package [that] addresses the pain this has caused – 15 million Americans behind on their rent, 24 million adults and 12 million children who don’t have enough to eat, small businesses failing,” Yellen told CNBC’s Sara Eisen during a “Closing Bell” interview.
“I think the price of doing too little is much higher than the price of doing something big. We think that the benefits will far outweigh the costs in the longer run,” she added.
Still, the stock market’s rally to records stalled a bit this week as fears of rising rates and higher inflation crept in.
Some investors have said pessimism over a jump in interest rates and the potential for inflation have kept Wall Street in check in recent sessions. The 10-year Treasury yield this week rose to the highest in nearly a year, and on Friday rose another 5 basis points to 1.34%.
“I think that this week may have put a little bit of inflation fear into people. Not necessarily in the short term, but this could turn really quickly,” said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade.
“You saw some pretty decent-sized swings this week in rates. I don’t want to get too carried away – it’s not like the 10-year is creeping above 2%,” he continued. But “I just think that because of the velocity of how quickly we started the year, it may just be a little bit of people taking a breather.”
Yellen, though, said she doesn’t believe inflation should be the biggest concern.
“Inflation has been very low for over a decade, and you know it’s a risk, but it’s a risk that the Federal Reserve and others have tools to address,” she said. “The greater risk is of scarring the people, having this pandemic take a permanent lifelong toll on their lives and livelihoods.”
Many on Wall Street agree with Yellen that a large stimulus is needed and that a trillion-dollar package, along with a smooth economic reopening this year, will cause the market rally to continue.
“A big part of our rationale for additional gains from here is dependent on a continued belief that the major drivers that helped carry the market to current levels will remain intact,” Scott Wren, Wells Fargo’s senior global market strategist, said in a note. One of the drivers is “additional stimulus from Congress that will help bridge the gap between now and when vaccines are widely distributed.”
The House of Representatives will try to pass a $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan before the end of February, Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Thursday. Democratic Congressional leaders may try to pass a package without votes from Republicans.
After a temporary pullback in December, homebuyers returned to the market in January despite record low supply. Closed sales of existing homes in January increased 0.6% compared with December, according to the National Association of Realtors.
Sales ended the month at a seasonally adjusted, annualized rate of 6.69 million units. That figure is 23.7% higher compared with January 2020 and the second-highest sales pace since April 2006.
The big story this week is the rise in long bond rates with the yield on the 10-year Treasury note on the verge of making a new 52-week high:
That's why I don't get too flustered about rates creeping up, they'd have to jump well above 2% for there to be a really significant sell-off.
And to be honest, I think the bond market is wrong, far too worried about inflation which isn't going to happen.
Having said this, the vaccine rollout is going well all around the world (except here in Canada) and I suspect we will reach herd immunity in many OECD countries by late summer.
Once this second stimulus package passes in the US, it will also help boost the ongoing economic recovery, that will boost the US dollar and put a little more pressure on long bond yields.(I see us hovering around 1.6% on the 10-year by summer).
Again, the backup in yields is more of a growth story, nothing to do with inflation which is more cyclical, not secular in nature.
But the backup in long bond yields will put pressure on growth stocks, and it can turn a rational bubble into an irrational one:
Dhaval Joshi, chief European investment strategist for BCA Research, has said for some time that low yields meant the rally into stocks and other assets, made sense — a rational bubble, if you will. “Rational, because the nosebleed valuations are justified by a fundamental driver. And not just any fundamental driver, but the most fundamental driver of all – the bond yield,” he writes.
But not now. Forward price-to-earnings multiples have been rising even as yields have climbed. The earnings yield in the most growth-focused sector, technology, has now been surpassed by the bond yield plus a fixed amount, as the chart shows.There are three ways this can resolve. One, is for stock prices to decline; another is for bond yields to decline; a third is for neither to move but earnings to rise, to improve stock valuations. (That third factor looks unlikely, for now, at the tail end of earnings season.)“Our current recommendation is to stay tactically neutral for the next few weeks to see whether risk-asset valuations can revert to rationality. This means keep existing investments in the market, but hold fire on new deployments of cash,” says Joshi. “If valuation reverts to rationality in any of the three ways listed above, then investors can safely deploy new cash into the market.”
And what about if not? Joshi says if the market turns irrational, the key will be to look if investors at longer-time horizons join the party. “As investors with longer and longer time horizons join the irrational bubble, there will be well-defined moments of heightened fragility, at which correction risk increases. This is what burst the irrational bubble in 2000, and will burst any new irrational bubble.”
Looking at the weekly chart of US long bond prices, I wouldn't be surprised if the selling pressure (backup in bond yields) subsides here as the move was a bit too extreme in my opinion:
If long bond prices continue to drop -- ie. long bond yields continue to back up -- then expect there to be some real fireworks in certain vulnerable sectors of the stock market which ran up like crazy since last March.
That remains to be seen, one thing is for sure, the backup in long bond yields helped propel cyclical shares higher this week and it hurt utilities and other dividend sectors:
Alright, the information above gives you a good macro background of where we are now.
Keeping this in mind, let's go back now to see what top funds bought and sold during the last quarter of the year.
Zero Hedge provided a good snapshot summary of some of the key position changes revealed at the more popular hedge funds in the 4th quarter, courtesy of Bloomberg:
ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS
- Top new buys: BMY, LSPD, SAGE, PH, OXY, TWTR, RKT, WEC, ANNX, CMI
- Top exits: PFE, CCK, TM, GRA, HSC, ATR, WM, SIRI, VMC, PCG
- Boosted stakes in: AMZN, JNJ, ST, BRK/B, HZNP, UPS, UAA, HON, DHR, TXN
- Cut stakes in: OTIS, ROST, CSCO, BAC, RTX, C, FIVE, ITT, FCX, BMRN
APPALOOSA
- Top exits: AVGO, QCOM, VST, TSLA, HUM
- Boosted stakes in: PCG, MU, MSFT, ET
- Cut stakes in: AMZN, T, GOOG, BABA, FB, NFLX, PYPL, WFC, V, MO
BALYASNY ASSET MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: LULU, BAC, GOOGL, TJX, SNX, ROP, CARR, VAR, TMUS, XOM
- Top exits: JPM, FLT, NSC, C, NKE, AZN, SAIC, TWLO, LSTR, CTLT
- Boosted stakes in: MCD, CTSH, MDT, SWKS, WAT, CMCSA, RTX, TWTR, AJG, MSI
- Cut stakes in: FISV, QGEN, LITE, NXPI, QRVO, ITW, DKS, GM, LHX, HOLX
BAUPOST GROUP
- Top new buys: PSTH, MU, AMAT, PEAK, HWM
- Top exits: AKBA, HCA, ABC, UNVR, VTR
- Boosted stakes in: PCG, SSNC, VRNT, HDS, VSAT
- Cut stakes in: EBAY, GOOG, TBPH, HPQ, FB, VIST, CLNY, FOXA, QRVO
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY
- Top new buys: ABBV, MRK, BMY, SNOW, TMUS, PFE
- Top exits: COST
- Boosted stakes in: BAC, GM, KR, LILAK
- Cut stakes in: WFC, JPM, PNC, GOLD, MTB, LBTYA, AXTA, DVA, AAPL
BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES
- Top new buys: WMT, PG, KO, JNJ, PEP, MCD, ABT, MDLZ, EL, DHR
- Top exits: INDA, LMT, PM, FIS, MO, CI, FISV, ADP, AMT, TMUS
- Boosted stakes in: BABA, EEM, VWO, IEMG, COST, SBUX, JD, TGT, NIO, DG
- Cut stakes in: IVV, SPY, FXI, MCHI, EWY, EWZ, LOW, HD, SHW, SINA
COATUE MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: SNOW, RUN, Z, NUAN, LB, ZG, GPS, DECK, AEO, URBN
- Top exits: BA, HWM, SFIX, NOW, TDG, BBBY, TWTR, SKT, HD, AAP
- Boosted stakes in: TSLA, GPN, SQ, PLAN, UBER, SHOP, FB, DIS, DOCU, NFLX
- Cut stakes in: LBRDK, DXCM, SMAR, OKTA, MU, GH, DDD, SRNE, SDC, LRCX
CORSAIR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: PSTH, ECPG, BERY, CCK, APG, PCG, GSAH, MS, LKQ, GVA
- Top exits: IWO, REPH, HGV, IWM, SMIT, GSL
- Boosted stakes in: VRT, GDDY, NATR
- Cut stakes in: QQQ, BXRX, PRSP, VOYA, PLYA, CHNG, STAR, HMHC, C, WMB
CORVEX MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: ILMN, FE, ACM, TWTR, DIS, ZEN, HCA, NAV, FIVE
- Top exits: IAA, CNC, TIF, FLMN, CZR
- Boosted stakes in: EXC, BABA, ATVI, CNP, ATUS, CMCSA, HUM, LYV, EVRG
- Cut stakes in: MSGS, AMZN, PCG, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS
D1 CAPITAL PARTNERS
- Top new buys: U, IR, BEKE, BLL, DT, SNOW, OM, GDRX, ADI, CD
- Top exits: AMZN, AZO, FLT, BFAM, ESTC, TSM, SBUX, API, ALLO, HST
- Boosted stakes in: CVNA, JD, MSFT, EXPE, GOOGL, PNC, LYV, FB, RH, JPM
- Cut stakes in: BABA, NFLX, LVS, DHR, FIS, HLT, AVB, ORLY, PLAN, HPP
DUQUESNE FAMILY OFFICE
- Top new buys: NUAN, GDX, NEE, XLI, EXPE, CVNA, PANW, ADI, SNE, NET
- Top exits: XBI, HD, WFC, CB, INSM, SRPT, AZO, MAR, CRWD, TCDA
- Boosted stakes in: MSFT, PENN, BABA, TMUS, SBUX, MELI, AMZN, JD, VZ, FIS
- Cut stakes in: JPM, PYPL, WDAY, GOOGL, BKNG, CCL, LYV, FSLY, REGN, NFLX
ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: UNIT, CUB
- Top exits: T, RYAAY, SPR
- Boosted stakes in: DELL, CRMD
- Cut stakes in: WELL, RILY
ENGAGED CAPITAL
- Top new buys: EVH, MX
- Top exits: SMPL
- Boosted stakes in: NCR, STKL, IWM
- Cut stakes in: MED, RCII
GREENLIGHT CAPITAL
- Top new buys: SNX, NCR, TWTR, INTC, INGR, DDS, UHAL, ICPT, GHC, PANA
- Top exits: TPX, SATS, WHR, XELA
- Boosted stakes in: GLD, AAWW, JACK, REZI, NBSE
- Cut stakes in: AER, GDX, GPOR, CNX, APG, TECK, CC, CHNG
ICAHN
- Boosted stakes in: IEP, XRX
- Cut stakes in: HLF, LNG
IMPALA ASSET MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: FDX, RKT, FCX, VALE, SBSW, FND, MHK, ALK, THO, AGQ
- Top exits: QCOM, HES, VAC, DOOO, MU, TGT, DKS, SKX, TJX, CRNC
- Boosted stakes in: KSU, WYNN, KNX, KL, CMI, SBLK, CNK, CENX
- Cut stakes in: RIO, SIX, DRI, HOG, TOL, ADNT, TTWO, NSC, MT, LPX
LAKEWOOD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: LBRDK, TMUS, CWH, GLD, LOW, UPWK, SAIC, VVV, MIK
- Top exits: YNDX, BLDR, NKLA, SHAK
- Boosted stakes in: ABG, ANTM, COF, C, SKX, APO, BHC
- Cut stakes in: BIDU, BC, CI, CMCSA, CWK, AXS, GOOGL, WRK, FB, GS
LANSDOWNE
- Top new buys: IDA, BLDP, EQT, CDE, LOOP, KCAC, RIDE
- Top exits: ONEM, GE, SMMT, GDX, AAL, NKE, SALT
- Boosted stakes in: FCX, TSM, OTIS, FSLR, EGO, DAR, ETN, COG, TMUS, AG
- Cut stakes in: C, MU, DAL, LRCX, AMAT, LUV, UAL, AES, ADI, VMC
LONG POND
- Top new buys: GLPI, PGRE, EXPE, NTST, H, MGP, XHR, RLJ
- Top exits: FR, SEAS, INVH, MAR, HST, BXP, TRNO, DRH, ESRT, REXR
- Boosted stakes in: EQR, AVB, SHO, WELL, AIV, RHP, DEI, HPP, CPT, JBGS
- Cut stakes in: HLT, PEAK, WH, SBRA, MAA, MAC, HGV, LVS
MAGNETAR FINANCIAL
- Top new buys: VAR, MXIM, MPLN, BMCH, GLIBA
- Top exits: QGEN, PAYA, UTZ, FSR, HYLN, CCC, PACB, SNY, PCG, IR
- Boosted stakes in: EHC, ABBV, GRUB, PIC, SYNH, NVS, PTAC, MRK, CHNG, AVTR
- Cut stakes in: UBER, VLDR, LCA, AZN, BDX, NOVA, HCAC, PRGO, PKI, PAE
MAVERICK CAPITAL
- Top new buys: BX, NKE, GPN, BECN, GPRO, OSH, GME, MCD, LB, TGT
- Top exits: BTI, STNE, IRBT, SCHW, NTAP, GIS, CHGG, FL, PLCE, BIG
- Boosted stakes in: LRCX, GLW, TGTX, LOGI, FLT, PRSP, DD, AMAT, LIVN, AXP
- Cut stakes in: GOOG, NFLX, AVTR, DLTR, MSFT, APD, AMZN, FB, HUM, ALNY
MELVIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: ALGN, MCD, DDOG, TJX, AMD, MSCI, WDAY, SBAC, LYV, TEAM
- Top exits: CRM, FLT, FIS, CSGP, WEN, YUM, TWLO, NFLX, FB, VRSN
- Boosted stakes in: BABA, PINS, NKE, NOW, EXPE, ADBE, FISV, GOOGL, DOCU, LVS
- Cut stakes in: AZO, PYPL, AMZN, MSFT, DPZ, JD, RACE, DECK, CAR, BURL
OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: MEG, UNIT, VALE, AMX, CEO, EQR, GTXMQ, XPEV, LEA
- Top exits: TMHC, BABA, CZR, IHRT, CCO, SRNE, BCEI
- Boosted stakes in: TRMD, NMIH, IBN, EGLE, KC, TV, ASC, ITUB
- Cut stakes in: CCS, AU, TSM, PBR, MELI, BBD, API, GTH, INDA, BIDU
OMEGA ADVISORS
- Top new buys: GOOGL, ATH, VRT, MSI, FVAC, EPD, MNRL
- Top exits: JPM, CNC, GTN, VICI, DNRCQ
- Boosted stakes in: COOP, OCN, ASPU, FCRD, NAVI, STKL, AMCX, ASH, FOE, SNR
- Cut stakes in: CI, PE, SRGA, GCI, NBR, LEE, ABR
PERSHING SQUARE
- Cut stakes in: A, HLT, LOW
SOROBAN CAPITAL
- Top new buys: ADI, PSTH, FISV, FIS, ARMK
- Top exits: NOC
- Boosted stakes in: YUM, ATUS, MSFT, CSX, RTX
- Cut stakes in: FB, SNE, AMZN
SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT
- Top new buys: QQQ, PLTR, XLI, MCHP, U, VAR, MXIM, DIS, MCHI, NGHC
- Top exits: TDG, GRFS, BK, BAC, JPM, GS, PNC, USB, WFC, TFC
- Boosted stakes in: DHI, DRI, ARMK, GM, ATVI, PFSI, TIF, MT, CHTR, APTV
- Cut stakes in: IGSB, PCG, TMUS, NLOK, PTON, C, GOOGL, OTIS, LPLA, LQD
STARBOARD
- Top new buys: SPY, CTVA
- Top exits: EBAY
- Boosted stakes in: ACM, ACIW, IWN, GDOT, IWR, MMSI, SCOR, BOX
- Cut stakes in: NLOK, AAP, IWM, CERN, CVLT
TEMASEK HOLDINGS
- Top new buys: DCT, SNOW, SE, IAU, GOVT, SCHP, XLK, BNTX, EWT, IWM
- Top exits: FIS, VRT, PDD, NIO
- Boosted stakes in: PYPL, AMZN, IBN, HDB, DDOG
- Cut stakes in: TME, TMO
THIRD POINT
- Top new buys: PCG, MSFT, TDG, FTV, EXPE, PINS, AVTR, CZR, PLNT, GDRX
- Top exits: BAX, RTX, NKE, EVRG, ATVI, TTWO, GPS, CNNE
- Boosted stakes in: BABA, JD, BKI, FB, V, BURL, INTU, TEL, ETRN, SHY
- Cut stakes in: GB, IQV, ADBE, DIS, AMZN, IAA
TIGER GLOBAL
- Top new buys: SNOW, GSX, BEKE, SUMO, BIGC, JAMF, FROG, GDRX, CD, ASAN
- Top exits: NEWR, ATH, CHWY
- Boosted stakes in: PDD, CRWD, PTON, ZM, NOW, AMZN, UBER, WDAY, TEAM, MSFT
- Cut stakes in: SVMK, PYPL, TWLO, CRM, BABA
TUDOR INVESTMENT
- Top new buys: NGHC, KDP, GDRX, VICI, HEC, FSLR, LIN, RXT, DLR, RPAY
- Top exits: SOXX, O, X, TMUS, TME, NLOK, SCHW, AVB, SJM, CDAY
- Boosted stakes in: GRUB, GLIBA, KC, BDX, GOOGL, AMT, TEAM, CVX, ADBE, AMD
- Cut stakes in: PCG, CRWD, UBER, ATHM, NFLX, SBAC, ESS, BXP, THO, BXMT
VIKING GLOBAL INVESTORS
- Top new buys: TSM, AVB, AMD, RTX, GOOGL, CSGP, ZBH, BILL, BMY, OTIS
- Top exits: UBER, JD, CRM, PLAN, LOW, SHW, LIN, NFLX, DHR, BABA
- Boosted stakes in: MSFT, TMUS, MELI, FIS, CME, JPM, BKNG, PH, NUAN, HLT
- Cut stakes in: AMZN, CMCSA, CI, LVS, ALL, DRI, FTV, SE, RPRX, WDAY
Source: Bloomberg
Again, this is all lagged data, which is why I'm going to show you how to look at stocks (any stock) in real time so you can stop fretting over what Soros et al. are buying and selling.
I'm going to use shares of Bausch Health Companies (BHC), a top holding of Paulson, ValueAct, Glenview and now Icahn (see full list of top institutional holders here).
First, let's look at the weekly chart. Go to stockcharts.com and type in BHC and change setting for it's weekly and go back 5 years. For the purposes of this exercise, I used the 10, 50 and 200 week moving averages:
You see how it's breaking out here, well above its 10-week moving average and making a new three-year high? Also, the weekly MACD is positive and rising which supports more gains ahead.
What about short term moves? I typically use one year daily charts and the 9 and 20 day exponential moving averages to see if a stock is overbought or oversold in the short run:
Using the daily chart, it tells me shares of BHC are a little overbought in the short-term and might correct a little but if they hold key levels, it's a buying opportunity to load up as the weekly chart tells me it's headed much higher.
Now, this isn't a science but it can help you navigate a lot of stocks which move, especially meme stocks that were pumped and dumped recently.
Look at the daily chart on BlackBerry (BB) shares:
Now look at the weekly chart:
You see how it spiked to over $28 on the daily, was way overbought and has corrected hard ever since?
Now, I want to see if it holds its 10-week moving average or goes to test its 200-week moving average.
The key point I want to make here, no matter which stock you're buying or selling, you need to make informed decisions and above and beyond the fundamentals, you need to know your key daily and weekly levels or else you're flying blind.
Stop worrying about what top fund managers bought and sold last quarter, start understanding the macro backdrop (most important thing) and then analyze stocks and other risk assets using daily and weekly charts (and monthly if you have access to them).
Capiche? What else? Shares of Palantir (PLTR) soared today, up 15% on massive volume after WallStreetBets touted it (after Cathie Wood touted it earlier this week on CNBC):
This stock is fairly new, doesn't have much history, so I only use the daily chart to gauge it:
And? What does this daily chart tell me? It tells me not to get too excited until the stock breaks above $30 and sustains an uptrend.
The same thing with that Yahoo Finance snapshot of the one -month chart I provided above, it tells me not to get excited about today's pop and not to chase it.
In fact, I'd probably be shorting it here if I was a professional hedge fund trader but managing my risk very tightly as stocks like this can explode up.
My point is do not get too excited, I know many hedge funds and top funds own shares of Palantir (see full list here), but I don't care, I stay emotionless and analyze it like I'd analyze any other stock.
The same goes for QuantumScape, another hot stock with a short history. Here, the daily looks good but not great as the daily MACD is still negative:
I know Fidelity, Soros, Millennium, Baillie Gifford and other top funds loaded up on it in Q4 (see full list here) but that doesn't tel me whether they played the massive run-up and sold or are still holding it (they probably pumped, dumped and bought it back at the end of Q4).
Let's look at another one, Twilio Inc (TWLO), a top holding of Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation fund:
Both the daily and weekly chart tell me this stock is in a bullish uptrend but the daily tells me it's overbought in the short term and is due for a correction and has to hold key levels (like its 10-week moving average).
What about GameStock (GME) which continues to be the most heavily shorted stock in the stock market?
First, look at the 5-year weekly chart:
I would have bought this at $20 and probably gotten rid of it in the low 40s (didn't touch it) and missed the explosive upside.
But look at its daily chart, it's telling me to stay the hell away from this stock:
Sure, short sellers will cover, it might go to $55 but they will come back in hard and short it even harder (short sellers aren’t stupid, they periodically cover to reel in more buyers and then slam them).
Who bought GME in Q4 of 2020? The full list is available here and some big name hedge funds like Maverick Capital made a killing but I know they're long gone now.
That brings me to another important point, be careful with these WallStreetBets stocks, I'm almost sure they are in cahoots with big hedge funds pumping and dumping stocks.
Every week I see pump-and-dumps in the stock market and I know it's big hedgies driving the insane action, mostly in small biotechs but not exclusively, they do it all over.
Where is the SEC? The SEC doesn't care as long as big hedge funds make a killing and pay big banks big fees (read my comment on YOLOers of the world uniting, the game is totally rigged!).
Alright, let me wrap it up there, there are a lot of interesting stocks I wanted to cover like Freeport McMoran (FCX), Cameco (CCJ), Haliburton (HAL), Vale (VALE) and BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) but you definitely don't pay me enough to cover all these stocks and a lot more.
Use the information above wisely, use 13F filings wisely, stay disciplined, stay nimble, manage your position and portfolio risk well, these markets may look easy and made for trading but one wrong move taking too much risk and you're dead.
Trust me, it takes years of analyzing macro markets and stocks across all sectors to be a great investor and trader, I'm just giving you a glimpse of what I look at on a daily level.
The majority of the people out there are better off buying the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), the Nasdaq (QQQ) and emerging markets (EEM) although they make me nervous now.
I typically end these quarterly comments with links to top funds and their holdings but the new Nasdaq site doesn't provide this information yet (only for stocks, you type in your symbol at the top, scroll down the left hand side and click on institutiotnal holdings).
Alternatively, you can copy and paste the following link in your web browser:
https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/XYZ/institutional-holdings
Just change XYZ for the stock symbol of your choice to see which funds own it as of the end of last quarter (remember, the data is lagged by 45 days).
Once the new Nasdaq site starts provided fund data, I will edit this comment to add the links.
The links below take you straight to their top holdings and then click on the column head "Change (%)" to see where they increased and decreased their holdings (you have to click once or twice to see).
These funds are run almost exclusively by men but one of the most impressive ones, ARK, is run by a lady called Cathie Wood, the best investor you never heard of (well, by now, you've all heard of her).
Top multi-strategy and event driven hedge funds
As the name implies, these hedge funds invest across a wide variety of
hedge fund strategies like L/S Equity, L/S credit, global macro,
convertible arbitrage, risk arbitrage, volatility arbitrage, merger
arbitrage, distressed debt and statistical pair trading. Below are links
to the holdings of some top multi-strategy hedge funds I track
closely:
1) Appaloosa LP
2) Citadel Advisors
3) Balyasny Asset Management
4) Point72 Asset Management (Steve Cohen)
5) Peak6 Investments
6) Kingdon Capital Management
7) Millennium Management
8) Farallon Capital Management
9) HBK Investments
10) Highbridge Capital Management
11) Highland Capital Management
12) Hudson Bay Capital Management
13) Pentwater Capital Management
14) Sculptor Capital Management (formerly known as Och-Ziff Capital Management)
15) ExodusPoint Capital Management
16) Carlson Capital Management
17) Magnetar Capital
18) Whitebox Advisors
19) QVT Financial
20) Paloma Partners
21) Weiss Multi-Strategy Advisors
22) York Capital Management
Top Global Macro Hedge Funds and Family Offices
These hedge funds gained notoriety because of George Soros, arguably the
best and most famous hedge fund manager. Global macros typically
invest across fixed income, currency, commodity and equity markets.
George Soros, Carl Icahn, Stanley Druckenmiller, Julian Robertson have
converted their hedge funds into family offices to manage their own
money.
1) Soros Fund Management
2) Icahn Associates
3) Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller)
4) Bridgewater Associates
5) Pointstate Capital Partners
6) Caxton Associates (Bruce Kovner)
7) Tudor Investment Corporation (Paul Tudor Jones)
8) Tiger Management (Julian Robertson)
9) Discovery Capital Management (Rob Citrone)
10 Moore Capital Management
11) Element Capital
12) Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust (Michael Larson, the man behind Gates)
Top Quant and Market Neutral Hedge Funds
These funds use sophisticated mathematical algorithms to make their
returns, typically using high-frequency models so they churn their
portfolios often. A few of them have outstanding long-term track records
and many believe quants are taking over the world.
They typically only hire PhDs in mathematics, physics and computer
science to develop their algorithms. Market neutral funds will
engage in pair trading to remove market beta. Some are large asset
managers that specialize in factor investing.
1) Alyeska Investment Group
2) Renaissance Technologies
3) DE Shaw & Co.
4) Two Sigma Investments
5) Cubist Systematic Strategies (a quant division of Point72)
6) Numeric Investors now part of Man Group
7) Analytic Investors
8) AQR Capital Management
9) Dimensional Fund Advisors
10) Quantitative Investment Management
11) Oxford Asset Management
12) PDT Partners
13) Angelo Gordon
14) Quantitative Systematic Strategies
15) Quantitative Investment Management
16) Bayesian Capital Management
17) SABA Capital Management
18) Quadrature Capital
19) Simplex Trading
Top Deep Value, Activist, Event Driven and Distressed Debt Funds
These are among the top long-only funds that everyone tracks. They
include funds run by legendary investors like Warren Buffet, Seth
Klarman, Ron Baron and Ken Fisher. Activist investors like to make
investments in companies where management lacks the proper incentives to
maximize shareholder value. They differ from traditional L/S hedge
funds by having a more concentrated portfolio. Distressed debt funds
typically invest in debt of a company but sometimes take equity
positions.
1) Abrams Capital Management (the one-man wealth machine)
2) Berkshire Hathaway
3) TCI Fund Management
4) Baron Partners Fund (click here to view other Baron funds)
5) BHR Capital
6) Fisher Asset Management
7) Baupost Group
8) Fairfax Financial Holdings
9) Fairholme Capital
10) Gotham Asset Management
11) Fir Tree Partners
12) Elliott Associates
13) Jana Partners
14) Miller Value Partners (Bill Miller)
15) Highfields Capital Management
16) Eminence Capital
17) Pershing Square Capital Management
18) New Mountain Vantage Advisers
19) Atlantic Investment Management
20) Polaris Capital Management
21) Third Point
22) Marcato Capital Management
23) Glenview Capital Management
24) Apollo Management
25) Avenue Capital
26) Armistice Capital
27) Blue Harbor Group
28) Brigade Capital Management
29) Caspian Capital
30) Kerrisdale Advisers
31) Knighthead Capital Management
32) Relational Investors
33) Roystone Capital Management
34) Scopia Capital Management
35) Schneider Capital Management
36) ValueAct Capital
37) Vulcan Value Partners
38) Okumus Fund Management
39) Eagle Capital Management
40) Sasco Capital
41) Lyrical Asset Management
42) Gabelli Funds
43) Brave Warrior Advisors
44) Matrix Asset Advisors
45) Jet Capital
46) Conatus Capital Management
47) Starboard Value
48) Pzena Investment Management
49) Trian Fund Management
50) Oaktree Capital Management
Top Long/Short Hedge Funds
These hedge funds go long shares they think will rise in value and short
those they think will fall. Along with global macro funds, they
command the bulk of hedge fund assets. There are many L/S funds but
here is a small sample of some well-known funds.
1) Adage Capital Management
2) Viking Global Investors
3) Greenlight Capital
4) Maverick Capital
5) Pointstate Capital Partners
6) Marathon Asset Management
7) Tiger Global Management (Chase Coleman)
8) Coatue Management
9) D1 Capital Partners
10) Artis Capital Management
11) Fox Point Capital Management
12) Jabre Capital Partners
13) Lone Pine Capital
14) Paulson & Co.
15) Bronson Point Management
16) Hoplite Capital Management
17) LSV Asset Management
18) Hussman Strategic Advisors
19) Cantillon Capital Management
20) Brookside Capital Management
21) Blue Ridge Capital
22) Iridian Asset Management
23) Clough Capital Partners
24) GLG Partners LP
25) Cadence Capital Management
26) Honeycomb Asset Management
27) New Mountain Vantage
28) Penserra Capital Management
29) Eminence Capital
30) Steadfast Capital Management
31) Brookside Capital Management
32) PAR Capital Capital Management
33) Gilder, Gagnon, Howe & Co
34) Brahman Capital
35) Bridger Management
36) Kensico Capital Management
37) Kynikos Associates
38) Soroban Capital Partners
39) Passport Capital
40) Pennant Capital Management
41) Mason Capital Management
42) Tide Point Capital Management
43) Sirios Capital Management
44) Hayman Capital Management
45) Highside Capital Management
46) Tremblant Capital Group
47) Decade Capital Management
48) Suvretta Capital Management
49) Bloom Tree Partners
50) Cadian Capital Management
51) Matrix Capital Management
52) Senvest Partners
53) Falcon Edge Capital Management
54) Park West Asset Management
55) Melvin Capital Partners
56) Owl Creek Asset Management
57) Portolan Capital Management
58) Proxima Capital Management
59) Tourbillon Capital Partners
60) Impala Asset Management
61) Valinor Management
62) Marshall Wace
63) Light Street Capital Management
64) Rock Springs Capital Management
65) Rubric Capital Management
66) Whale Rock Capital
67) Skye Global Management
68) York Capital Management
69) Zweig-Dimenna Associates
Top Sector and Specialized Funds
I like tracking activity funds that specialize in real estate, biotech,
healthcare, retail and other sectors like mid, small and micro caps.
Here are some funds worth tracking closely.
1) Avoro Capital Advisors (formerly Venbio Select Advisors)
2) Baker Brothers Advisors
3) Perceptive Advisors
4) Broadfin Capital
5) Healthcor Management
6) Orbimed Advisors
7) Deerfield Management
8) BB Biotech AG
9) Birchview Capital
10) Ghost Tree Capital
11) Sectoral Asset Management
12) Oracle Investment Management
13) Palo Alto Investors
14) Consonance Capital Management
15) Camber Capital Management
16) Redmile Group
17) RTW Investments
18) Bridger Capital Management
19) Boxer Capital
20) Bridgeway Capital Management
21) Cohen & Steers
22) Cardinal Capital Management
23) Munder Capital Management
24) Diamondhill Capital Management
25) Cortina Asset Management
26) Geneva Capital Management
27) Criterion Capital Management
28) Daruma Capital Management
29) 12 West Capital Management
30) RA Capital Management
31) Sarissa Capital Management
32) Rock Springs Capital Management
33) Senzar Asset Management
34) Southeastern Asset Management
35) Sphera Funds
36) Tang Capital Management
37) Thomson Horstmann & Bryant
38) Ecor1 Capital
39) Opaleye Management
40) NEA Management Company
41) Great Point Partners
42) Tekla Capital Management
43) Van Berkom and Associates
Mutual Funds and Asset Managers
Mutual funds and large asset managers are not hedge funds but their
sheer size makes them important players. Some asset managers have
excellent track records. Below, are a few funds investors track closely.
1) Fidelity
2) BlackRock Inc
3) Wellington Management
4) AQR Capital Management
5) Sands Capital Management
6) Brookfield Asset Management
7) Dodge & Cox
8) Eaton Vance Management
9) Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co.
10) Geode Capital Management
11) Goldman Sachs Group
12) JP Morgan Chase & Co.
13) Morgan Stanley
14) Manulife Asset Management
15) UBS Asset Management
16) Barclays Global Investor
17) Epoch Investment Partners
18) Thornburg Investment Management
19) Kornitzer Capital Management
20) Batterymarch Financial Management
21) Tocqueville Asset Management
22) Neuberger Berman
23) Winslow Capital Management
24) Herndon Capital Management
25) Artisan Partners
26) Great West Life Insurance Management
27) Lazard Asset Management
28) Janus Capital Management
29) Franklin Resources
30) Capital Research Global Investors
31) T. Rowe Price
32) First Eagle Investment Management
33) Frontier Capital Management
34) Akre Capital Management
35) Brandywine Global
36) Brown Capital Management
37) Victory Capital Management
38) Orbis
39) Ariel Investments
40) ARK Investment Management
Canadian Asset Managers
Here are a few Canadian funds I track closely:
1) Addenda Capital
2) Letko, Brosseau and Associates
3) Fiera Capital Corporation
4) West Face Capital
5) Hexavest
6) 1832 Asset Management
7) Jarislowsky, Fraser
8) Connor, Clark & Lunn Investment Management
9) TD Asset Management
10) CIBC Asset Management
11) Beutel, Goodman & Co
12) Greystone Managed Investments
13) Mackenzie Financial Corporation
14) Great West Life Assurance Co
15) Guardian Capital
16) Scotia Capital
17) AGF Investments
18) Montrusco Bolton
19) CI Investments
20) Venator Capital Management
21) Van Berkom and Associates
22) Formula Growth
23) Hillsdale Investment Management
Pension Funds, Endowment Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds and the Fed's Swiss Surrogate
Last but not least, I the track activity of some pension funds,
endowment, sovereign wealth funds and the Swiss National Bank (aka the Fed's Swiss surrogate). Below, a
sample of the funds I track closely:
1) Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMco)
2) Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan
3) Canada Pension Plan Investment Board
4) Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec
5) OMERS Administration Corp.
6) Healthcare of Ontario Pension Pan (HOOPP)
7) British Columbia Investment Management Corporation (BCI)
8) Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments)
9) PGGM Investments
10) APG All Pensions Group
11) California Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS)
12) California State Teachers Retirement System (CalSTRS)
13) New York State Common Fund
14) New York State Teachers Retirement System
15) State Board of Administration of Florida Retirement System
16) State of Wisconsin Investment Board
17) State of New Jersey Common Pension Fund
18) Public Employees Retirement System of Ohio
19) STRS Ohio
20) Teacher Retirement System of Texas
21) Virginia Retirement Systems
22) TIAA CREF investment Management
23) Harvard Management Co.
24) Norges Bank
25) Nordea Investment Management
26) Korea Investment Corp.
27) Singapore Temasek Holdings
28) Yale Endowment Fund
29) Swiss National Bank (aka, the Fed's Swiss surrogate)
Below, ARK Invest founder, CIO and CEO Cathie Wood is the hottest portfolio manager on the planet right now, delivering incredible returns, and she appeared on CNBC's Halftime Report earlier to discuss her Tesla, Teledoc and Zoom positions and the future of a bitcoin ETF with Scott Wapner and Bob Pisani.
Whether or not you agree with her, take the time to listen to her insights. You can see the holdings of the ARK Innovation Fund ETF (ARKK) by clicking here, it is updated every day. The holdings for other ARK funds are available here.
And yesterday, the US House Comittee on Financial Services held hearings online to look into the GameStop saga. the hearings featured Robinhood CEO, Vlad Tenev, Melvin Capital CEO Gabriel Plotkin and Ken Griffin, CEO of Citadel.
I wasn't impressed, some parts were revealing but there was way too much moralizing by some Democrats who used this forum to chastize rich hedge fund managers.
But I didn't agree with everything Ken Griffin said, praising Gabriel Plotkin as "one of the best traders of his generation" (umm, he might be great at picking stocks but his risk management totally sucks!) and truth be told, I thought AOC asked the best questions (she did her homework and others should have ceded their time to her). Still, if you have patience, take the time to watch this.
The hedge fund manager who impressed me the most last year wasn't even Chase Coleman, although he delivered great results and cashed in big time, it was Perceptive Advisors' Joseph Edelman, who picked some great biotech winners like Novavax (NVAX) and many others. When it comes to biotech, they are at the top of their game.
Third, Interactive Brokers founder and chairman Thomas Peterffy says there's nobody to blame, but there is a clear problem in the system that caused the massive run in GameStop stock. He joined 'Closing Bell' earlier this week to discuss a simple fix to the problem which the SEC can regulate (don't hold your breath).
Lastly, take the time to watch an interview with hedge fund legend Stanley Druckenmiller where he discusses his current outlook on the market, his approach to risk management throughout his career, and his perspective on the conversation surrounding the role of capitalism in American society.
My favorite part is when he talks about VaR and how he doesn't need it because he looks at his portfolio's P&L. Great interview, don't agree with him on everything but love listening to his insights.
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