Canada's Pensions in Great Shape?

Chris Butera of Chief Investment Officer reports, Why Canada’s Pension Plans Are in Such Good Shape:
In a post-financial crisis world, many US public pension plans are finally beginning to see a light at the end of the tunnel, but others are still at their wit’s end on how to crawl out of their obligatory holes.

Canada, on the other hand, is doing just fine.

With most of its pension plans at either fully funded status or close to it, Canadians have achieved a balance that the US has only seen in the corporate sector. In fact, some Canadian plans, such as the Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology ($8.3 billion) and the Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan ($59.9 billion) have become overfunded.

Eight Canadian pension funds ranked in the top 100 global funds by size in a 2015 Boston Consulting Group study titled “Investing for Canada on the World Stage.” Three were in the top 20.

This begs the question: What do Canadian pension systems do that those in the US don’t?

GOVERNANCE, LOW RISK AND ASSET DIVERSITY

One key element of what asset owners call the “Canadian model” is independent governance. Public US plans typically go through legislatures and governors’ offices to make changes. That brings a layer of politics into the picture. Canadian plans instead follow a structure free of government intervention, only having to go through their boards.

This is key, Jeff Wendling, senior vice president and chief investment officer, equity investments, of the Ontario healthcare plan, told CIO. “One is this independent governance idea, so you don’t have political bodies or agencies getting involved in how the assets are managed, or when contributions are made, or use of surplus, or all of those kinds of things.”

Result: Canadian funds can make faster investment decisions.

Another element is a more risk-aversive portfolio. Many US plans tend to focus on adding risk by investing in public equities or hedge funds. But Canadian pensions look to de-risk, making safer bets on bonds, private equity, and infrastructure. Many of these assets are also eco-friendly.

“There’s a lot of asset class diversification. There’s a lot of geographic diversification. Canadian funds are looking for opportunities—and a lot of that has been going on for quite some time, so I think that’s part of the story as well,” Wendling said. “Most of these plans here don’t just use private equity funds, they also have direct private equity investing capabilities in-house and also real estate.”

Also important: They keep the costs down by avoiding outside managers, preferring to handle their money in-house.

ORIGINS

Despite the Canadian model’s success, it is relatively new. The pension concept began in the late 1980s and developed throughout the 1990s.

Before that, most Canadian pension plans were invested mostly or completely in domestic government bonds and were generally funded on a pay-as-you go basis. Plus, the public plans did not have independent governance. Muted investment returns, lack of future planning, and too much political influence was not an ideal mix. A 2017 report by Common Wealth and the World Bank Group on the model’s history called that approach an “error-prone fashion.”

Fears that the pension plans would fall short of meeting their obligations kicked off the reforms in 1987, leading to the creation of the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan as an independent institution.

To start, the government commissioned three reports on public pension structure, which agreed that Canadian public pension plans should move from the pay-as-you-go structure to a fully funded pension financing model. One suggested stakeholder consensus to develop reforms that would give the plans joint trusteeship and governance, joint sharing of risks and rewards between plan members and the government, investment of the plans’ funds in the market, and arms-length organizations that would operate independently of government. These and other changes were made over the next several years.

The Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, the king of the Canadian pension world, now controls nearly $200 billion in net assets, boasts a fully funded status, and has returned double digits every year since 1990. [Pension Pulse Note: This is patently false, get information here].

Not all the pension programs did well at the outset, though. The 1990s saw another slew of reforms to the new structure following the growing instability of the Canada Pension Plan, a contributory earnings-based social insurance program. The fund’s reserves were nearly depleted and its investments had been restricted to nonmarketable federal and provincial government debt. In 1995, Canada’s chief actuary issued a report on its perilous situation that was a call to arms. Otherwise, the fund may have perished.

The mid-1990s reforms raised the Canada Pension Plan’s contribution rates and reduced benefits, but also created the Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB), an agency tasked with handling the floundering plan’s assets. The founding legislation kept the board’s framework intact, splitting oversight between the federal government and provincial governments, a board with government-appointed directors as recommended by the minister of finance.

The investment board was also given a single mandate to maximize long-term task-adjusted returns on the pension plan’s assets. And the board was also required to produce accountability and transparency measures, which included regular public reporting. In the beginning, regulation restricted the board to passive investments in domestic equities, but this was soon nixed by the government following the organization’s inception.

The organization currently manages $317 billion in assets.

Over the next decade, other Canadian plans would adopt these rules, leading to an abundance of healthy pensions for retirees.

US ADOPTION

For US plans to get their funding levels up to snuff, Derek Dobson, CEO of the 118% funded Ontario-based Colleges of Applied Arts and Technology pension, suggests they begin with “overall inroad steps,” such as setting funding goals, getting all plan sponsors, taxpayers, employers, and members aligned with them, and then becoming “ruthless” in making sure “all of your key decisions point to the direction of making those goals happen.”

Dobson also said a “risk appetite statement” (the amount and type of risk an organization is willing to take to hit its targets) is needed to drive those funding goals. To meet the risk appetite, he said that transparency and trust in the boardroom table are “necessary components” to building it.

Oftentimes US plans will struggle with external management fees, but still continue to outsource fiduciary roles. While this does benefit some plans, Canadian plans are more partial to keeping everything in-house. This cuts costs, and also eliminates performance-based agendas outside managers may have.

“If you look at it from a cost perspective, there’s a business case to be made that if some of the large US plans move to an internal pension model, the actual cost or net returns would be higher, all things equal,” said Dobson. Yet controlling that expense is the real challenge, he said.

Wendling, the Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan’s CIO, said this low-cost structure also helps with risk management because “almost everything is in-house now, so you can really understand your risks and where they lie, I think, much better than if you’ve got a lot of external managers or even hedge funds, where it sometimes even opaque in terms of what the risks really are.”

To bring things in-house, Wendling said plans need a scale as well as the ability to properly compensate their internal talent, an issue he said hits US public plans. “It’s hard to do if all of your investment management is outsourced,” said Wendling.

One US fund that is taking Wendling and Dobson’s advice and putting its own spin on things is the $147 billion Teacher’s Retirement System of Texas. CIO Jerry Albright’s “Building the Fleet” strategy started a decade ago. Now that it has the money to stay afloat, Albright is looking to cut costs as he gradually brings more internal staff to the fund’s investment division to create what he calls the “Texas Model.”

Also Canadian at heart are the classes Albright sees as the most ripe with opportunity. The Texas Teachers’ CIO is looking at private equity, energy, and natural resources allocations as well as watching the fund’s real estate portfolio.

“As we grow to $200 billion we need to maintain that level of real estate transactions and the real estate portfolio turns over quite frequently, so you have to be out there to replace the transactions that turn over,” Albright told CIO.

The fund also has an opportunistic portfolio that sits outside of the private markets team, which picks up assets that don’t quite fit the private bill.

Albright also has other plans for the Texas model that are not typically Canadian, such as looking for “additional authority in the future” where Texas Teachers’ could directly own businesses. “We could say…own subsidiaries that would have operating companies that would operate effectively directly,” he said.

Another American pension fund seeking to adopt Canadian elements is the $349 billion California Public Employee Retirement System (CalPERS), through its $13 billion CalPERS Direct initiative. The fund will set up two internal funds that will manage leveraged buyouts, cutting private equity management costs.

Despite changing times, pressures, and circumstances, Dobson warned CIOs that once they adopt Canadian measures, they should not stray from their strategies as plans have gotten into “real big trouble” by changing their objectives annually, losing massive amounts of credibility and assets losses as they move to “the flavor of the day.”

“Once you have those goals,” Dobson said, “I think everything else will follow from that.”
Good article, discusses some of the key elements behind the success of Canada's pension plans but let me delve a lot deeper here.

The problem with this article is it focuses on investment success and leaves out very important information on managing liabilities.

What do I keep telling you? Pensions are all about managing assets and liabilities. Period.

You can have the best investment team in the world -- and Canada's top pensions have excellent investment managers across public and private markets -- but if you don't get a handle on liabilities, you will never be able to attain a fully funded status.

So, let me break down why Canada's pensions are in such good shape by looking at what they're doing on assets and liabilities.

On assets, the aticle correctly points to governance separating asset management from political interference. Canada's large public pensions have independent and qualified boards which oversee qualified and highly paid investment professionals.

It's true, Canada's large pensions do invest in-house, cutting fees, but they do not exclusively invest in-house. They still need relationships with top private equity funds in order to co-invest with them and lower overall fees while they scale into private equity.

Some like Ontario Teachers' and CPPIB have a significant hedge fund portfolio which they have nurtured over many years. There too, they invest with external managers and pay for alpha they cannot reproduce internally.

But it is true that Canada's large pensions are investing directly in infrastructure, the most important long-term asset class along with real estate, and they're doing a lot more private equity co-investments to scale into that asset and lower overall fees.

And to co-invest properly in private equity, you need to hire top talent and pay these people properly so they can quickly analyze co-investment opportunities as they arise.

So, I would say Canada's large pensions are for the most part taking more long-term illiquidity risk investing in private equity, real estate and infrastructure but the approach they take in private equity (doing more co-investments, a form of direct investing) and investing directly in infrastructure, explains a lot in terms of their investment success.

Also, one of the largest Canadian pensions, the Caisse, is doing a major multibillion greenfield infrastructure project, the REM, which will allow it to really cut costs and maximize the value of this project over the long run.

What else? The other part of the equation is liability management.

First, Canada's large public pensions use a low discount rate, much lower than their US counterparts which use discount rates based on rosy investment assumptions and a 20-year smoothed inflation number.

Lower discount rate means higher contributions from all stakeholders and it forces Canada's large pensions to really maximize risk-adjusted returns at a portfolio level.

But the biggest reason behind the fully funded and over-funded status (ie. surplus) of large and small pensions like Ontario Teachers', HOOPP, and CAAT Pension Plan is they have adopted a shared risk model, typically in the form of conditional inflation protection.

[Note: OPTrust and OMERS have guaranteed inflation protection and the former is fully funded while the latter is close to it but is now looking at adopting conditional inflation protection.]

What this means is when the plans run into problems, which they all do, they have the ability to fully or partially remove inflation protection on the benefits the plan's retired members receive for a period of time until the plan's fully funded status is restored (see clip below).

This is a critical element for the long-term sustainability of these plans and one that is making OTPP young again.

So, when you read about the success of Canada's large pensions, don't just think of how they approach investments, but also how they manage their liabilities.

Large US public pensions are starting to adopt elements of the Canadian model but the biggest impediment remains governance, separating public pensions from government interference.

Still, CalPERS, CalSTRS and Texas Teachers' are trying to adopt some of these elements, much to the benefit of their members and other stakeholders.

I also read somewhere that Texas Teachers' is lowering its discount rate to 7.25%, another step in the right direction.

Lastly, it's official, the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP Investments) today announced the appointment of Eduard van Gelderen to the position of Senior Vice President and Chief Investment Officer:
Mr. van Gelderen will lead PSP’s Total Fund Strategy Group, overseeing multi-asset class investment strategies and total fund allocations and exposures in terms of asset classes, geographies and sectors. The responsible investment, government relations and public policy functions will also report to him. Mr. van Gelderen will report to the President and CEO and his appointment is effective immediately.

“Eduard has the precise combination of strong global expertise and leadership skills we were seeking for the Chief Investment Officer position,” said Neil Cunningham, President and CEO of PSP Investments. “He is an accomplished, multi-asset class investment leader with highly relevant C-level investment expertise in large scale, pension investment managers. With his proven ability to think both as an investor and as a strategist, I’m confident he has the edge required to take our Total Fund operations to the next level.”

“The Canadian model is a leader amongst global pension markets,” added Mr. Van Gelderen. “PSP Investments has earned its place as one of Canada’s top four pension investment managers, with a clear and focused strategy backed by a strong Board. I am excited to join PSP Investments at a time of accelerated evolution for the organization.”

About Eduard van Gelderen

Prior to joining PSP Investments, Eduard van Gelderen was Senior Managing Director at the Office of the Chief Investment Officer of the University of California. As a member of the executive team, his primary responsibilities included overseeing the University’s retirement plan, heading up equity and real assets activities, and handling strategic partnerships in Europe. He also served as CEO of the Dutch financial service provider APG Asset Management and Deputy CIO of ING Investment Management.

He holds a master’s degree in Quantitative Finance from Erasmus University Rotterdam and a post-graduate degree in Asset Liability Management from Maastricht University in Limburg. He is currently a PhD candidate at the International School of Management in Paris. Eduard is a certified Financial Risk Manager and a Chartered Financial Analyst and has served on several investment advisory boards.
You can read more about PSP's new CIO here.

If you want to understand why Canada's large pensions are in such good shape, it's because they know how to properly manage assets and liabilities, and have the right governance to attract and retain world-class investment managers like Eduard van Gelderen.

Below, Ron Mock, Ontario Teachers' Pension CEO, speaks to CNBC's David Faber about the organziation's investing strategies (May 1st, 2018). Listen carefully to Ron, he explains very clearly why they're not cutting out the middlemen as they still rely on solid partnerships all over the world to deliver stellar risk-adjusted returns.

Also, see how a small adjustment to inflation protection is crucial to the sustainability of the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan and making it young again.

Canada's large public pensions are in good shape because they know how to properly manage assets and liabilities and that is the recipe for long-term pension success.


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